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šŸŒ Earth Science

🧠 NeurIPS2025 · 6 paper notes

šŸ“Œ Same area in other venues: šŸ“· CVPR2026 (1) Ā· šŸ”¬ ICLR2026 (7) Ā· 🧪 ICML2026 (2) Ā· šŸ¤– AAAI2026 (2)

A Probabilistic U-Net Approach to Downscaling Climate Simulations

This work presents the first application of a probabilistic U-Net to statistical climate downscaling (16Ɨ super-resolution). By sampling from a variational latent space, the model generates ensemble forecasts for uncertainty quantification. The paper systematically compares four training objectives — WMSE, MS-SSIM, WMSE-MS-SSIM, and afCRPS — revealing complementary trade-offs between extreme event capture and fine-scale spatial variability preservation.

Adaptive Online Emulation for Accelerating Complex Physical Simulations

This paper proposes Adaptive Online Emulation (AOE), a framework that dynamically trains an ELM-based neural network surrogate model during physical simulation execution to replace expensive computational components, requiring no offline pretraining. On an exoplanetary atmospheric simulation, AOE achieves an 11.1Ɨ speedup (91% time savings) with only ~0.01% accuracy loss.

ControlFusion: A Controllable Image Fusion Framework with Language-Vision Degradation Prompts

This paper proposes ControlFusion, a controllable infrared-visible image fusion framework based on language-vision degradation prompts. It employs a physics-driven degradation imaging model to simulate compound degradations, and uses a prompt-modulated network to perform dynamic restoration and fusion, achieving comprehensive state-of-the-art performance under both real-world and compound degradation scenarios.

Power Ensemble Aggregation for Improved Extreme Event AI Prediction

This paper proposes an adaptive ensemble aggregation method based on the power mean. By applying nonlinear aggregation (power exponent \(p>1\)) to the score of ensemble members from generative weather prediction models, the method significantly improves classification performance for extreme high-temperature events, with greater gains at higher quantile thresholds.

Predicting Public Health Impacts of Electricity Usage

This paper proposes HealthPredictor, an AI pipeline that maps electricity consumption end-to-end to public health damages (measured in $/MWh), comprising three modules: fuel mix prediction, air quality conversion, and health impact assessment. Health-driven optimization significantly reduces health impact prediction error compared to fuel-mix-driven baselines, and achieves a 24–42% reduction in health damages in an EV charging scheduling case study.

Reasoning With a Star: A Heliophysics Dataset and Benchmark for Agentic Scientific Reasoning

This paper introduces Reasoning With a Star (RWS), a 158-question scientific reasoning benchmark derived from NASA heliophysics summer school problem sets, spanning three answer types (numeric/symbolic/textual). Paired with a unit-aware grader, it evaluates four multi-agent coordination paradigms (HMAW/PACE/PHASE/SCHEMA) and finds that no single paradigm dominates across all tasks — the systems-engineering-inspired SCHEMA achieves the strongest performance on tasks requiring rigorous constraint validation.